The Price of the American Dream: A Local’s Take
Hey there! Let’s talk about something that’s changed a lot around here: the American Dream. Not just needing enough money to afford the payments on it, but needing enough money to actually buy the whole package. You know, the house, the two cars, the family, and a basic vacation every single year.
Now, it probably won’t shock you to hear that these things we all used to think were just part of a good life have gotten pricey. But honestly, it’s hit a tipping point. The American Dream isn’t gone, but in many places, it’s turned into an extreme luxury. We’re talking costs that could reach as high as $10 million to actually afford it all. That’s more than most folks will ever make in their entire working lives, before taxes, interest, and just paying for stuff like food.
It’s tough news, I know. But trying to stick to that old idea of what you’re supposed to have in life? For most people, it’s just permanently out of reach now. And as more Americans figure this out, it’s really changing how our economy works.
The Three Big Points
There are three main things to understand about all this. On their own, each one seems pretty obvious. But when you put them together, things get really interesting, and maybe a little worrying.
- The American Dream went from affordable to luxury: It used to be a lifestyle that someone with a regular job could manage. Now, it’s so expensive that even households with two professionals working full-time are struggling to keep up.
- Alternative lifestyles are cheaper than the traditional dream: Things that used to seem super fancy, like traveling the world or living in exotic places, are now often much more affordable than buying a standard suburban house with a 30-year mortgage.
- What happens when people make a logical choice? This is about what happens when folks look at the numbers and decide to pick a different, better life for themselves, even if it’s not the traditional one.
Now, I’m calling it the “American Dream” because, let’s be real, it makes for a catchy title for a video like this one. But honestly, this story? It’s pretty much the same all over the world, and in some places, things are even tougher than here.
The High Cost of the Dream
So, how expensive is this dream package now? Let’s break down some of the costs.
Housing Costs
- According to data from the US Fed and the US Census Bureau, put together in the Case Shiller index:
- The average home price in the US is now more than 7.6 times the median combined household income.
- This is significantly higher than it was right before the global financial crisis, which, you might remember, was pretty much caused by people messing around with housing speculation.
- Think the US is bad?
- Spare a thought for the UK: They have lower wages but similar house prices.
- Look at Canadians: Data compiled by Financial Samurai shows they have about 10% less disposable income on average, but their houses are 75% more expensive.
- New mortgage rates are also the highest they’ve been since the year 2000. Back then, house prices were only about four times household income.
- Today, the average person, even if they have a working partner, probably can’t reasonably afford to buy an average home at today’s prices and interest rates. Why? Because they’d have to spend more than half of their before-tax income just on the interest payments alone. That’s before paying down the loan principal and before income tax.
- Honestly, most banks wouldn’t even give out that kind of mortgage because it’d be financially irresponsible.
You already know housing is expensive, you don’t need me to tell you that. But here’s the kicker: somehow, every other part of that American Dream package has gotten even more expensive too.
Other Soaring Costs
- The price of a car.
- A basic college degree.
- Insurance.
- Medical care.
All these costs have gone up faster than inflation, and inflation itself has been at decade highs.
The Asset Divide
So, how do people keep up with these prices? Basically, the only way is if you’re actually benefiting from these rising prices.
- If you look at charts about your personal finances, they might be going “up and to the left” (meaning getting better), but investment assets? They’re going up even more.
- The average house is now “earning” more money than the average American worker through capital gains, and guess what? Those gains are taxed more favorably than wages.
- The stock market keeps hitting new records.
- Let’s look at the numbers: Adjusted for inflation, household incomes have gone up by 20% since 2005. But the NASDAQ (a big stock market index)? It’s up by a whopping 340%!
Who can afford that middle-class lifestyle now? Pretty much only people who have had enough time to build up significant assets, or young folks lucky enough to get help from the “First National Bank of Mommy and Daddy”.
Is There Good News? (Yes, Kind of)
Now, this isn’t just another video telling you how financially messed up things are. There’s actually some good news mixed in. More young Americans than ever are choosing to opt out of chasing that traditional American Dream. The price of buying that fixer-upper family home is so high that they’re realizing they can get a much better lifestyle just by saying “no thanks” to the traditional path.
This week’s video, by the way, was sponsored by our newsletter, Compounded Daily. We’re releasing a piece this week about folks working multiple full-time jobs remotely – like, up to four at once – and the tricks they use to pull it off. We write a lot of informative stuff there that maybe wouldn’t do so well on YouTube’s algorithm. Signing up for Compounded Daily is free, and if you don’t find it valuable, you can always unsubscribe.
The Most Expensive Luxury: Children
There’s one expense that has grown faster than pretty much everything else. It’s become a kind of status symbol, even though, technically, it’s… well, having children.
- According to data from the Bureau of Labor Statistics:
- The cost of raising a child, adjusted for inflation, has gone up by more than 50% since the year 2000.
- Some of the biggest expenses for raising a child are now 250% of what they were just 24 years ago!
- This data was collected focusing on husband and wife families, so it factors in the potential cost of one parent taking time off work to care for kids.
So, why is this happening? Fewer people are having children. Young working professionals often earn too much to qualify for most government child subsidies, but they don’t earn enough to truly afford raising kids comfortably.
The only people who can really afford children without a huge financial strain seem to be the very wealthy. They don’t bat an eye at spending thousands a year on the best preschools or all the gear their child might need. This means that mostly only expensive, high-end services catering to rich families can count on having enough business to stick around. So, the expensive options are often the only ones left in the market.
Yes, there’s also a large group of people with lower incomes who still have many children. But the US Census Bureau suggests this is part of why America has higher rates of child poverty compared to elder poverty.
A study by the Tax Foundation found that married couples with children were the fastest shrinking group in the middle-income brackets. The reason? People just couldn’t afford to raise kids. Now, the Tax Foundation is a think tank that pushes for lower taxes and less government spending, so they might have a specific point they want to make with that report. But the numbers themselves seem pretty clear: people want to have children, but they simply can’t afford it anymore. Something that previous generations just expected to do has become one of the most expensive luxuries in today’s world.
The Rise of Affordable Alternatives
But here’s the flip side: While everything you might need for a “normal” life is getting ridiculously expensive for regular folks, previously “luxurious” alternatives are actually getting much cheaper.
- Remote work has been a game-changer. A lot of young people can now get one job, or even multiple jobs, and do them from anywhere in the world.
- Traveling the world full-time or living in a cheaper, maybe exotic, location used to be just for the super-rich “Jet Set” crowd only a few years ago. Now? Almost anyone can do it, and often they can save more money than they would living in a big city.
- These folks, often called digital nomads, have gone from a tiny niche group to a big part of the workforce in less than a decade.
- A survey by the firm MBO Partners, published in the Harvard Business Review, found that 17.3 million American workers now identify as digital nomads. That’s a massive 150% increase just since 2019!
- In that survey, “digital nomad” covers a wide range: from tech workers sailing the globe and sending code via Starlink satellite internet, to traveling nurses living in a van, to someone who just moved temporarily to a cheaper city to work remotely.
- The number one reason people told the HBR research team they were living this “unrooted” lifestyle? They couldn’t afford a more typical life. And if they were going to be uncomfortable anyway (financially and maybe physically), they’d rather be uncomfortable while seeing the world.
The sacrifices you need to make to hit the road are much smaller than they used to be. Landing a remote job is still tough, but way less so than it was. Some people in fields with lots of remote work, like technology, data analysis, or creating media, have even started online forums where they talk about how to work multiple full-time jobs simultaneously and make several incomes at once.
Living in a different country has also gotten much easier. Some places popular with digital nomads looking to save money are actually safer, cleaner, and have better facilities than many unaffordable American cities. Some countries are so welcoming to young remote workers that they’ve started offering digital nomad visas to make the legal and tax stuff much simpler for working there.
Even if you get lonely and want to visit friends and family back home often, saving $2,000 a month on rent goes a long way toward buying plane tickets on budget airlines. Funny how airline tickets seem to be one of the few things that have gotten noticeably cheaper while everything else gets more expensive!
So, there are still tough parts about living abroad, but they’re getting easier all the time. Meanwhile, the traditional American Dream? It’s just getting harder.
What Happens When People Give Up?
Not everyone who’s priced out of a “normal” life goes off on an adventure like being a digital nomad. Some people do make the best of a bad situation right where they are. But globally, there are way more young people who are simply giving up.
Think about this: In a time when the average American can’t even handle an unexpected 5,000 handbags or $10,000 watches are making record profits. What’s going on?
This is often explained by something called “doom spending.” If you’ve worked hard, gotten a good education, landed a decent job, worked for 10 years, and you’re still no closer to owning your own home, it’s understandable that you might want some kind of reward for all that effort. If you can’t afford a sensible big purchase like a down payment, maybe you can at least buy something that looks like you’ve got your financial life together. It’s not logical, no, but companies don’t make billions selling $2,000 shoes by appealing to logic!
Doom spending is part of a bigger trend of people just deciding to throw in the towel.
- In countries like China, where the competition for housing and basic necessities is even more intense than here, there’s a movement called “lying down” (tang ping in Chinese). Young people decide not to work or go to school, and instead just stay home, relax, and maybe play video games all day.
- This trend was seen as such a threat that the Chinese government actually banned the term on social media!
And maybe that’s the most important thing about the American Dream slowly dying: What happens when lots of people just give up on it?
The American Dream system really only works if most people actually believe in it and participate to keep things going. Maybe, just maybe, the baby boomers kind of brought this on themselves? They voted for policies that helped them out, often at the expense of future generations. Now, their kids might not want to keep that system running for them. The tricky thing is, most boomers will be gone before this becomes a major crisis point.
Tax Implications
It’s hard for Americans to stop paying taxes just by going to work in another country. Why? Because the US is one of the only countries in the world that still taxes its citizens even if they live and work abroad.
But for other countries, losing workers who move elsewhere for a better life is already a big drain on the systems that are supposed to support their aging populations. Even if young Americans are kind of stuck with Uncle Sam’s tax rules, they might choose to pay him less by moving out of expensive areas.
- Look at San Francisco, where the median house price is almost 300,000 just to have a “comfortable” middle-class life there, if you can even call it that.
- To sustainably fund that kind of lifestyle into retirement, you’d need about $8 million in invested assets outside your main home.
- The federal tax and FICA taxes on that 87,000**.
- People live in San Francisco partly because they can earn that much there. But now, more people in these high-paying jobs are willing to take a pay cut to work remotely from a cheaper American city or even a cheaper country.
- For example, Google cut some workers’ pay by 25% if they moved, and some workers were actually happy to take the cut! Why? Because they could work from somewhere four times cheaper.
- Let’s say that 225,000 remote job. The federal tax and FICA on 59,000**. This means, even after state taxes (which would likely be lower too), this remote worker might only be taking home about $35,000 less each year.
- But the tax system? It misses out on roughly the same amount of money that person saves.
When even folks at the very top of the job market can’t earn enough to catch up to where assets are, can you really blame them for giving up on the American Dream?
A Natural Cycle?
Maybe, just maybe, all this is just part of a natural cycle that’s been happening for hundreds of years. To learn more about how money works and the history behind some of these trends, go check out the latest video on the depressing history of retirement.